SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Walsall |
63.31% ( -0.44) | 19.08% ( 0.19) | 17.61% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 60.97% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.51% ( -0.52) | 33.49% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.72% ( -0.6) | 55.28% ( 0.59) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( -0.26) | 10.12% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.7% ( -0.58) | 33.29% ( 0.58) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.07) | 32.16% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( -0.07) | 68.65% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Walsall |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 63.31% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.08% | 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.08% 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 17.61% |
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