SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Southampton |
39.59% ( -0.23) | 24.97% ( 0.05) | 35.44% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.73% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( -0.22) | 45.64% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( -0.2) | 67.96% ( 0.2) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( -0.21) | 22.91% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( -0.31) | 56.66% ( 0.31) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% | 25.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.17% ( 0) | 59.82% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.44% |
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