SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Walsall |
38.44% ( -0.59) | 24.94% ( 0.09) | 36.62% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( -0.39) | 45.39% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( -0.38) | 67.73% ( 0.38) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.48) | 23.38% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( -0.7) | 57.36% ( 0.7) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( 0.09) | 24.35% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% ( 0.13) | 58.75% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Walsall |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.62% |
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