Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Walsall in this match.
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