SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
48.22% ( -0.15) | 23.42% ( 0.05) | 28.36% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.99% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.7% ( -0.18) | 41.3% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.3% ( -0.18) | 63.69% ( 0.18) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -0.13) | 17.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( -0.22) | 47.72% ( 0.22) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -0.02) | 27.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( -0.03) | 62.9% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.95% Total : 48.22% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.36% |
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