Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
47.57% ( 0.74) | 25.08% ( -0.33) | 27.35% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.67% ( 1.08) | 49.33% ( -1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.62% ( 0.97) | 71.38% ( -0.97) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% ( 0.77) | 20.76% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.6% ( 1.2) | 53.4% ( -1.19) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( 0.25) | 32.33% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% ( 0.28) | 68.83% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 47.57% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.35% |
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