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National League | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Roots Hall Stadium
HU

Southend
2 - 3
Hartlepool

Bridge (5'), Scott-Morriss (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Crawford (28'), Grey (57'), Seaman (73')
Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Southend
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Southend UnitedDrawHartlepool United
47.57% (0.745 0.74) 25.08% (-0.326 -0.33) 27.35% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 53.62% (0.714 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (1.083 1.08)49.33% (-1.08 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (0.968 0.97)71.38% (-0.96600000000001 -0.97)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (0.771 0.77)20.76% (-0.769 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.6% (1.196 1.2)53.4% (-1.193 -1.19)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (0.246 0.25)32.33% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.277 0.28)68.83% (-0.276 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Southend United 47.57%
    Hartlepool United 27.35%
    Draw 25.08%
Southend UnitedDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.159 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 47.57%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.35%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Southend
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-2 Southend
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 4-0 Oldham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-3 Southend
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 2-0 Southend
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Gateshead
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 3-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 5-2 Sunderland
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, July 14 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Hartlepool
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two


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