SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
38.98% ( -0.05) | 24.04% ( -0.01) | 36.98% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.31% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.93% ( 0.04) | 41.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( 0.04) | 63.46% ( -0.04) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( -0.01) | 21.2% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.91% ( -0.01) | 54.08% ( 0) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( 0.04) | 22.2% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% ( 0.06) | 55.6% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.98% |
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