SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Tamworth |
60.86% ( 0.13) | 21.31% ( -0.04) | 17.83% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( 0.01) | 43.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( 0.01) | 66.06% ( -0.01) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( 0.05) | 13.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.71% ( 0.09) | 41.28% ( -0.09) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.92% ( -0.11) | 38.08% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% ( -0.1) | 74.84% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 60.85% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.31% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 17.83% |
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