Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
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