Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
Result | ||
St Gallen | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
68.47% ( 0.01) | 17.09% ( -0.01) | 14.44% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.96% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.85% ( 0.01) | 30.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.63% ( 0.02) | 51.36% ( -0.02) |
St Gallen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.95% ( 0.01) | 8.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.67% ( 0.01) | 28.33% ( -0.01) |
Yverdon Sport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.3% ( 0) | 33.7% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.64% ( 0) | 70.36% |
Score Analysis |
St Gallen | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 68.47% | 1-1 @ 7.43% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.09% | 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.53% Total : 14.44% |
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