SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | St Gallen |
39.23% ( 0.11) | 25.23% ( 0.07) | 35.54% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.18% ( -0.33) | 46.82% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( -0.31) | 69.08% ( 0.31) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( -0.09) | 23.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( -0.13) | 57.7% ( 0.13) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( -0.26) | 25.62% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( -0.35) | 60.51% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | St Gallen |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.23% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.54% |
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