Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
