SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 74.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Queen of the South |
74.67% ( 0.07) | 15.7% ( -0.03) | 9.62% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% ( 0.02) | 36.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.93% ( 0.02) | 59.07% ( -0.02) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.61% ( 0.02) | 8.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.83% ( 0.05) | 29.17% ( -0.05) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.9% ( -0.07) | 46.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.21% ( -0.05) | 81.79% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.71% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.6% Total : 74.67% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 15.7% | 0-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 9.62% |
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