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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
KL

St Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock


Taylor (33'), Gogic (59'), Baccus (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Watkins (25')
Findlay (74'), Deas (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 2-0 St Mirren
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Kilmarnock

While St Mirren have seen a drop-off in performance lately, they have maintained a very good home record this season. The visitors, in contrast, have been good recently, but their away form has been far from impressive. This looks like a very even contest in the making, and we feel there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
44.31% (0.478 0.48) 27.27% (-0.153 -0.15) 28.42% (-0.325 -0.32)
Both teams to score 47.79% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.75% (0.41 0.41)57.25% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (0.327 0.33)78.09% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (0.43100000000001 0.43)25.69% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (0.584 0.58)60.61% (-0.585 -0.59)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)35.69% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (-0.035 -0.04)72.46% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 44.3%
    Kilmarnock 28.42%
    Draw 27.26%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 12.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.3%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 St Mirren
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Motherwell
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-0 Ross County
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 St Mirren
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 St Mirren
Sunday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-0 St Mirren
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Celtic
Sunday, December 10 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Hearts
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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