SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
49.52% ( -0.03) | 24.99% ( -0.04) | 25.49% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( 0.2) | 50.29% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( 0.18) | 72.24% ( -0.18) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( 0.06) | 20.32% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.29% ( 0.1) | 52.71% ( -0.1) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( 0.17) | 34.33% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( 0.18) | 71.04% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.49% |
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