SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
50.97% ( -0) | 22.94% ( -0) | 26.09% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.71% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.2% ( 0) | 40.8% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.81% ( 0) | 63.19% ( -0) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( 0) | 16.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.42% | 45.58% |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( 0) | 28.8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.35% ( 0.01) | 64.65% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.51% Total : 50.97% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 26.09% |
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