SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 77.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 9.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a VfL Osnabruck win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | VfL Osnabruck |
77.07% ( -0.21) | 13.89% ( 0.11) | 9.04% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.19) | 29.41% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.52% ( -0.23) | 50.48% ( 0.24) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.79% ( -0.07) | 6.21% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.53% ( -0.22) | 23.47% ( 0.22) |
| VfL Osnabruck Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.11% ( 0.07) | 41.89% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.66% ( 0.06) | 78.34% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | VfL Osnabruck |
| 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.41% Total : 77.07% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.89% | 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.04% |
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