SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-3 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a VfL Osnabruck win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Osnabruck | Draw | St Pauli |
15.13% ( 0.07) | 17.36% ( 0.03) | 67.51% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.76% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.02) | 29.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.85% ( 0.02) | 51.15% ( -0.02) |
| VfL Osnabruck Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( 0.1) | 32.72% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.72% ( 0.11) | 69.28% ( -0.11) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.8% ( -0.02) | 8.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.28% ( -0.04) | 28.72% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Osnabruck | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 15.13% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.36% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 7% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.73% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.37% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.02% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)0-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 67.51% |
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