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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 57.83%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.98%) and 2-3 (5.46%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
23.42% ( 0.15) | 18.75% ( 0.12) | 57.83% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 72.51% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.94% ( -0.42) | 23.06% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.66% ( -0.57) | 42.34% ( 0.57) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( -0.15) | 20.91% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( -0.23) | 53.63% ( 0.23) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.68% ( -0.19) | 8.32% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71% ( -0.46) | 29% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.42% | 1-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.81% Total : 18.75% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 3.39% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 5.32% Total : 57.83% |
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