Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.55%) and 2-3 (5.37%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
