Slovan Bratislava are comfortable at the top of their domestic league, which means they can concentrate in Europe. The Sky Blues have also been decent on the road in Europe this season, with two victories in three away games.
The hosts failed to win any of their home matches in the Europa league this season, and we expect this trend to continue on Thursday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 52.09%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
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