SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 52.09%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
52.09% ( -0.02) | 22.95% ( 0.01) | 24.96% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.14% ( -0.01) | 41.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.74% ( -0.01) | 64.26% ( 0.01) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( -0.01) | 16.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% ( -0.02) | 45.56% ( 0.03) |
| Slovan Bratislava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.01) | 30.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% ( 0.01) | 66.4% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 52.09% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 24.96% |
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