SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Preston North End |
51.54% ( 0.06) | 24.1% ( -0.01) | 24.35% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( -0.02) | 47.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( -0.02) | 69.74% ( 0.01) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% ( 0.02) | 18.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.39% ( 0.03) | 49.61% ( -0.04) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( -0.06) | 33.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( -0.06) | 70.47% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.34% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 24.35% |
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