SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Preston North End in this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
39.7% ( -0.37) | 24.88% ( -0.06) | 35.42% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( 0.35) | 45.23% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( 0.34) | 67.57% ( -0.34) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -0.03) | 22.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( -0.04) | 56.32% ( 0.04) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 0.41) | 24.94% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( 0.57) | 59.58% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.42% |
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