Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.02) 
