Tamworth showed in the FA Cup that they are capable of rising to the occasion when faced with higher-quality opponents. However, on this occasion, we feel that Oldham will do enough to edge their way to victory, potentially by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
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