SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Tamworth |
53.64% ( -0.32) | 23.27% ( 0.44) | 23.08% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( -1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( -2.1) | 45.22% ( 2.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( -2.04) | 67.56% ( 2.04) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( -0.86) | 16.79% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.24% ( -1.57) | 46.76% ( 1.56) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( -1.27) | 33.65% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% ( -1.41) | 70.3% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.08% |
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