Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Terrassa had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.46%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Terrassa win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alaves in this match.