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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2023 at 1pm UK
Iberostar Estadi
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Mallorca
0 - 0
Alaves


Sanchez (24'), Ndiaye (36'), Samu (46'), Morlanes (90+7')
FT

Guevara (27'), Abqar (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 3-1 Granada
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Alaves

Mallorca have drawn half of their 14 league matches this season, and we are expecting another stalemate here. Alaves will fancy their chances of claiming all three points considering their recent form, but Mallorca should be good enough for a share of the spoils on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.94%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.99%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawAlaves
39.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 31.59% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 28.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 37.1% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.56% (0.172 0.17)70.44% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.48% (0.108 0.11)87.51% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.12 0.12)34.78% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.128 0.13)71.51% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.88% (0.124 0.12)43.12% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.61% (0.105 0.11)79.39% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 39.94%
    Alaves 28.46%
    Draw 31.58%
MallorcaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 15.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.48% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.94%
0-0 @ 14.99% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.96% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 31.58%
0-1 @ 12.61% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 28.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Boiro 0-4 Mallorca
Wednesday, November 1 at 5.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 3-1 Granada
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Almeria
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Deportivo Murcia 0-10 Alaves
Thursday, November 2 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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