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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 12, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
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Barcelona
2 - 1
Alaves

Lewandowski (53', 78' pen.)
Lewandowski (62'), Gundogan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Omorodion (1')
Duarte (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shakhtar 1-0 Barcelona
Tuesday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Almeria
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Barcelona 2-0 Alaves

Alaves will certainly be the fresher of the two teams, and they have previous when it comes to positive results away from home against Barcelona. Xavi's side will be desperate to bounce back from their European disappointment, though, and we are expecting them to secure all three points ahead of the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawAlaves
68.54% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41) 19.14% (0.233 0.23) 12.31% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)45.22% (0.587 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (-0.561 -0.56)67.57% (0.56399999999999 0.56)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88% (-0.282 -0.28)12.12% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.3% (-0.6 -0.6)37.7% (0.602 0.6)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)46.64% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)82.21% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 68.53%
    Alaves 12.31%
    Draw 19.14%
BarcelonaDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 12.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.97% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 68.53%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.109 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 19.14%
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 3.47% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.64% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 12.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-0 Barcelona
Tuesday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Shakhtar
Wednesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 2-2 Barcelona
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Almeria
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Deportivo Murcia 0-10 Alaves
Thursday, November 2 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Betis
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Osasuna
Sunday, October 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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