Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 35.02%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (13.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Independiente
34.5% ( 0.26)	30.49% ( 0.08)	35.02% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 40.87% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.41% (

-0.22)

66.6% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.01% (

-0.15)

84.99% (

0.16)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.75% (

0.06)

36.25% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

0.06)

73.03% (

-0.05)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.11% (

-0.35)

35.89% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.34% (

-0.36)

72.66% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Tigre 34.5%

Independiente 35.02%

Draw 30.47%

Tigre	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 34.5%	1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 13% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.47%	0-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 35.02%