SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 35.44%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.99%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Union |
34.07% ( 1.07) | 30.49% ( 0.45) | 35.44% ( -1.52) |
| Both teams to score 40.86% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.39% ( -1.3) | 66.6% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15% ( -0.89) | 84.99% ( 0.89) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( 0.05) | 36.55% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.66% ( 0.05) | 73.33% ( -0.05) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.4% ( -1.71) | 35.6% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.63% ( -1.81) | 72.37% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.9% Total : 34.06% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.61)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.48% | 0-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.07% Total : 35.43% |
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