SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Independiente |
48.97% ( -0.69) | 27.35% ( 0.38) | 23.68% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 43.97% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.69% ( -1.05) | 60.31% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.52% ( -0.8) | 80.48% ( 0.8) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( -0.78) | 24.8% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.62% ( -1.11) | 59.37% ( 1.1) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( -0.31) | 41.53% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.98% ( -0.27) | 78.02% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.21% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.19% Total : 23.68% |
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