SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Orlando City |
57.38% ( 0.43) | 23.9% ( -0.03) | 18.71% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 46.95% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% ( -0.41) | 53% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( -0.35) | 74.6% ( 0.34) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( 0.01) | 18.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.64% ( 0.02) | 49.35% ( -0.02) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.46% ( -0.7) | 42.54% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.1% ( -0.6) | 78.9% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigres | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.37% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.85% Total : 18.71% |
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