Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
-0.69) 
0.71) 
