Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | Orlando City |
39.53% ( -0.02) | 25.5% ( -0.01) | 34.97% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.78% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.88% ( 0.04) | 48.12% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.72% ( 0.04) | 70.28% ( -0.04) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( 0.01) | 24.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( 0.01) | 58.31% ( -0.01) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% ( 0.04) | 26.56% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.22% ( 0.05) | 61.77% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.97% |
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