SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Minnesota United |
56.4% ( -0.05) | 22.16% ( 0.01) | 21.43% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% ( 0.02) | 42.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( 0.03) | 64.59% ( -0.03) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.21% ( -0.01) | 14.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.94% ( -0.01) | 43.06% ( 0.01) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( 0.05) | 33.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( 0.05) | 70.1% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.4% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 21.43% |
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