SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
50.46% ( 0.04) | 26.24% ( 0.04) | 23.29% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% ( -0.2) | 56.8% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.27% ( -0.17) | 77.73% ( 0.17) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( -0.07) | 22.59% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.81% ( -0.1) | 56.19% ( 0.1) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.11% ( -0.19) | 39.89% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.44% ( -0.17) | 76.56% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
| 1-0 @ 13.4% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 50.46% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 23.3% |
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