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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
ML

Torino
3 - 1
AC Milan

Zapata (26'), Ilic (40'), Rodriguez (46')
Ricci (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bennacer (55' pen.)
Tomori (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Torino
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 AC Milan

Only runaway champions Inter have scored more away goals than Milan's 20 this calendar year, but Torino are capable of frustrating them: a low-scoring draw is the likeliest outcome, as Toro do not lay out the red carpet for their visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawAC Milan
35.92% (-0.164 -0.16) 28.06% (-0.118 -0.12) 36.03% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.357 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54% (0.44 0.44)58.47% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95% (0.342 0.34)79.05% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.11800000000001 0.12)31.03% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (0.136 0.14)67.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.401 0.4)30.96% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.468 0.47)67.25% (-0.467 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.92%
    AC Milan 36.03%
    Draw 28.06%
TorinoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.92%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.6% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Torino
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Bologna
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Torino
Sunday, April 28 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Frosinone
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Juventus
Saturday, April 13 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 3-2 Torino
Saturday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 5-1 Cagliari
Saturday, May 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-3 Genoa
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 AC Milan
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Inter Milan
Monday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 3-3 AC Milan
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Serie A


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