Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Bari had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cosenza Calcio would win this match.

Result
Cosenza Calcio	Draw	Bari
39.82% ( -0.08)	26.91% ( -0)	33.26% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 50.82% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.68% (

0.02)

54.32% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.29% (

0.01)

75.7% (

-0.02)

Cosenza Calcio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.29% (

-0.04)

26.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.03% (

-0.05)

61.97% (

0.04)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

0.06)

30.65% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

0.07)

66.9% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Cosenza Calcio 39.82%

Bari 33.26%

Draw 26.91%

Cosenza Calcio	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.82%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.26%