Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Metz had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.