SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Fredrikstad |
39.16% ( -0.06) | 25.58% ( 0.05) | 35.25% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( -0.21) | 48.44% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( -0.19) | 70.57% ( 0.2) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.13) | 24.37% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% ( -0.18) | 58.78% ( 0.18) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( -0.09) | 26.54% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( -0.13) | 61.75% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Fredrikstad |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.26% |
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