SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
45.25% ( -0.02) | 25.75% ( 0) | 28.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% ( -0.01) | 51.14% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.01) | 72.98% ( 0) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( -0.01) | 22.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% ( -0.02) | 56.14% ( 0.01) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( 0) | 32.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( 0.01) | 68.48% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.99% |
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