SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesham United | Draw | Chippenham Town |
48.25% ( 0.3) | 24.23% ( -0.11) | 27.51% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.44% ( 0.34) | 45.56% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.11% ( 0.32) | 67.89% ( -0.33) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( 0.25) | 18.97% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( 0.42) | 50.51% ( -0.42) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.04) | 30.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( 0.05) | 66.39% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesham United | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 48.25% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.51% |
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