SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Truro City |
39.97% ( 0.21) | 23.94% ( -0.06) | 36.09% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 61.58% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( 0.3) | 40.68% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( 0.3) | 63.06% ( -0.3) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( 0.23) | 20.56% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.91% ( 0.36) | 53.08% ( -0.35) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 0.06) | 22.48% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.97% ( 0.09) | 56.03% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Truro City |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.09% |
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