SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chippenham Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Chippenham Town |
34.83% ( -0.1) | 25.4% ( 0.07) | 39.77% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( -0.37) | 47.67% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( -0.34) | 69.87% ( 0.33) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.23) | 26.43% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( -0.31) | 61.6% ( 0.31) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -0.15) | 23.71% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( -0.22) | 57.84% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.83% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.77% |
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