Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Truro City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
32.61% ( 0.32) | 26.09% ( -0.08) | 41.29% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 53.24% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.86% ( 0.41) | 51.14% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.01% ( 0.36) | 72.99% ( -0.36) |
Truro City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% ( 0.41) | 29.5% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.49% ( 0.5) | 65.51% ( -0.5) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( 0.06) | 24.48% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.06% ( 0.09) | 58.94% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Truro City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.61% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.29% |
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