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National League South | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
1 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Kabia (12')
Kabia (21'), Harrison (53'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

German (50'), Wishart (68'), Howe (69'), Barzey (82'), Smith (87')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-3 Farnborough
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Truro CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
32.61% (0.317 0.32) 26.09% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08) 41.29% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 53.24% (0.356 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86% (0.41 0.41)51.14% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (0.359 0.36)72.99% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (0.41300000000001 0.41)29.5% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (0.502 0.5)65.51% (-0.504 -0.5)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (0.061000000000007 0.06)24.48% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)58.94% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 32.61%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 41.29%
    Draw 26.09%
Truro CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.062 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.61%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 41.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Truro City 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Truro City
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 5-0 Worthing
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-3 Farnborough
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-1 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Slough 0-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 4-2 Welling United
Monday, September 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 4-2 Bath City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Enfield Town 0-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South


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