SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.94%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Comoros |
46.58% ( 2.11) | 29.44% ( -0.85) | 23.98% ( -1.25) |
| Both teams to score 39.24% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.54% ( 1.7) | 66.46% ( -1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.1% ( 1.14) | 84.9% ( -1.14) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( 2) | 28.88% ( -1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% ( 2.41) | 64.75% ( -2.41) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.19) | 44.82% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.21% ( -0.15) | 80.79% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tunisia | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 16.07% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.47)2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.41% Total : 46.57% | 0-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.83) 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.38% Total : 29.43% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.97% |
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