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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
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Comoros
1 - 1
Gambia

FT(HT: 1-1)
Barrow (45+1')
Minteh (63'), Ceesay (64'), Darboe (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Comoros 2-2 Mozambique (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21
All competitions
Last Game: Gambia 5-1 Seychelles
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Comoros 1-2 Gambia

While the Comoros enter this match with slightly better form, Gambia have made significant strides forward in recent years and have a few big names arriving in Casablanca for these qualifiers. We are expecting a closing contested opening match here but fancy the Scorpions to come away with the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (12.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
ComorosDrawGambia
32.67% (-1.294 -1.29) 30.47% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.86% (1.296 1.3)
Both teams to score 40.78% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.36% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)66.64% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.98% (-0.057 -0.06)85.02% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42% (-0.983 -0.98)37.58% (0.98699999999999 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64% (-0.977 -0.98)74.36% (0.98 0.98)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (0.818 0.82)34.67% (-0.814 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (0.857 0.86)71.4% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Comoros 32.67%
    Gambia 36.86%
    Draw 30.46%
ComorosDrawGambia
1-0 @ 12.75% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 13.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 13.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.46%
0-1 @ 13.8% (0.35 0.35)
0-2 @ 7.31% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Comoros 2-2 Mozambique (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Comoros 1-2 Angola
Friday, July 5 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Zambia
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Kenya 0-2 Comoros
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Comoros 0-1 Zimbabwe
Thursday, June 27 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Chad 0-2 Comoros
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Gambia 5-1 Seychelles
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Gambia 2-3 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Gambia
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Gambia
Monday, January 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Gambia 0-2 Ivory Coast
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Gambia
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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