Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 44.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.65%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tunisia in this match.
Result | ||
Tunisia | Draw | Madagascar |
44.56% (![]() | 30.19% (![]() | 25.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 38.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.09% (![]() | 67.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.13% (![]() | 85.87% (![]() |
Tunisia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.3% (![]() | 30.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.05% (![]() | 66.95% (![]() |
Madagascar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.52% (![]() | 44.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.49% (![]() | 80.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Tunisia | Draw | Madagascar |
1-0 @ 16.12% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.52% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 44.56% | 0-0 @ 13.65% (![]() 1-1 @ 13.06% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.19% | 0-1 @ 11.06% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.24% |
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