Tunisia will be backing themselves to maintain their perfect qualifying record as they take on a deflated Equatorial Guinea side who will be looking to bounce back after their costly point deduction. That said, we predict that the Carthage Eagles will come away with the desired results in front of their home supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.95%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tunisia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.
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